![]() ![]() Is the forecaster lying? Only if he knowingly used erroneous assumptions. One can project the number of new jobs based on assumptions that don’t pan out. You need a lot of assumptions to be correct to be close to achieving “near miss” status for economics forecasts. Sometimes the basis for seasonal patterns gets disrupted or fundamentally altered and it takes awhile for seasonal adjustments to more appropriately adjust. Seasonal data is a good example of statistics changing as new actual data is added. When actual/newer data become available the statistics can change and forecasts can look foolish. That’s the funny thing about statistics and forecasts. Does that mean the forecasters were mistaken? Some would rather think it shows the statistics are being faked.” Norris’ article: “All those forecasts turned out to be wrong. If that is not an allegation of falsifying data, I do not know what is.ġ55 thoughts on “ Lunatic Fringe Alert: Government Statistics Edition”įrom Mr. The whole reason the numbers are manipulated is to the will be “more normal” but who decides what is normal? In the government political bureaucrats who know their jobs depend on pleasing the politically connected. Here is a snippet of DickF‘s comment:Īlso any time numbers are manipulated by government there is a political element involved. Update, 11/9, 8AM Pacific: I am reminded that 5 years ago, Ricardo in his DickF incarnation showed up in a similar context, in this post. What series would Ricardo want reported before he didn’t accuse the government of suppressing the truth? I downloaded on FRED just a few, before I got tired, and here are the unemployment rates. Update, 11/8 11:40AM Pacific: Ricardo states the government is falsifying the data. If the secret government was really serious about falsifying the data to make it look better, they could for sure do a better job…īut seriously, how can economic discourse proceed if all the inconvenient data are disbelieved? Fortunately, Floyd Norris is on the case, as is Paul Krugman. Policy changes that could actually help are being delayed with false information. …Our government is doing a serious disservice by falsifying the employment condition in our country. Vintage Egyptian Music Co.Longtime reader Ricardo (aka Dick/DickF/RicardoZ) writes: Vintage Pretti Pak Music Box Plays Wind Beneath My Wings Floral Gift Wrapped □ VINTAGE SANKYO MUSIC BOX KEYCHAIN PURPLE FLOWER PLAYS "TOMORROW" (SEE VIDEO) Mother's Day Gift / Vintage Wooden Hand Crank Music Box Birthday Gifts Home Vintage Lasertech Solid Birch Alaska Music Box dq Vintage 1971 Sankyo Chadwick Miller LOVE STORY Rotating Ceramic Music Box Japan Vintage Mini Sewing Machine Retro Music Box Gift Table Decoration Decoration Toy I will do my very best to keep this site fully legal. If you have a specific DMCA request - please do not hesitate to contact me via the contact button on top. Now, there's a new owner to the site, which purchased it August 26, 2014, and he is in negotiation to obtain licensing from BMI at the moment. Then, all lyrics and tabs were removed from the site. ![]() Legal & DMCA: Matt's Music Page has been providing lyrics and tabs in a legal way, paying royalties each year to a few organizations. The creator of this page is simply a fan that made a page about The The creator of this page is in no way affiliated with The Used. The The Used Lyrics are Copyright their respective owners. I'm so far gone now I been running on empty ![]()
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |